Germany Election - Merkel’s Party Drops To Record Low 10 Days Before Vote

Bavaria is both the richest province of Germany and one of the most conservative.

The capital Munich was made infamous in the first half of the last century as being the setting where France and England agreed to allow Germany to cut up parts of Europe to avoid the second world war in 1938. It, unfortunately, started two years later anyway.

Ever since the 1950s, the conservative party of Chancellor Angela Merkel, called the CSU regionally and CDU federally, has been governing the region with a bit more than 50% of the vote, and voters have been very loyal.

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However, one year after stumbling to a record low federally in the September 2017 elections, the local results for Ms. Merkel’s party are also beginning to slide.

<blockquote class="twitter-tweet" data-lang="en"><p lang="en" dir="ltr">A political earthquake is brewing in traditionally conservative, Catholic Bavaria, but *not* a shift to the extreme right: according to <a href="https://twitter.com/hashtag/ARD?src=hash&amp;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">#ARD</a> Bayerntrend opinion poll, CSU set to slump to 33% in election, Greens up to 18% , AfD would be 5th largest party with 10%.</p>&mdash; Tom Brown (@TommasoMarrone) <a href="https://twitter.com/TommasoMarrone/status/1047955244636884997?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">October 4, 2018</a></blockquote>

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Bavaria's CSU tumbled to a record low of only 33% in the polls just 10 days before the Sunday 14 October election.

The German press stated clearly that “voters are dropping like flies in their support for Bavarian conservatives.”

<blockquote class="twitter-tweet" data-lang="en"><p lang="de" dir="ltr">Wäre in <a href="https://twitter.com/hashtag/Bayern?src=hash&amp;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">#Bayern</a> am kommenden Sonntag Landtagswahl, käme die <a href="https://twitter.com/CSU?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">@CSU</a> nur noch auf 33 Prozent der Stimmen. Die <a href="https://twitter.com/Gruene_Bayern?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">@Gruene_Bayern</a> würden 18 % erreichen, <a href="https://twitter.com/BayernSPD?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">@BayernSPD</a> und <a href="https://twitter.com/FREIEWAEHLER_BV?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">@FREIEWAEHLER_BV</a> jeweils 11 %. <a href="https://twitter.com/AfD_Bayern?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">@AfD_Bayern</a> und <a href="https://twitter.com/fdpbay?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">@fdpbay</a> würden 10 bzw. 6 % bekommen. ⬇<a href="https://twitter.com/hashtag/BR24Wahl?src=hash&amp;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">#BR24Wahl</a> <a href="https://t.co/3YCYzMmuop">https://t.co/3YCYzMmuop</a></p>&mdash; BR24 (@BR24) <a href="https://twitter.com/BR24/status/1047884725652787205?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">October 4, 2018</a></blockquote>

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The party, led by Ms. Merkel's interior minister, CSU head Horst Seehofer, has been bleeding support over the past months due to voter dissatisfaction over immigration policies and challenges from parties on both the left and right.

If the result of the poll published yesterday evening by national broadcaster ARD would ring true, then the party of Ms. Merkel would see losses in Bavaria go to the Green party on the left and the AfD on the right.

Mr. Markus Söder, the current CSU state premier, launched a desperate appeal to voters saying that such a result would bring a "totally unstable government" in Munich.

<blockquote class="twitter-tweet" data-lang="en"><p lang="en" dir="ltr">Dramatic numbers for Bavaria’s de facto state party CSU ahead of state election. In theory coalition government without CSU now possible if numbers anywhere close to reality. <a href="https://t.co/avi2EA7DqY">https://t.co/avi2EA7DqY</a></p>&mdash; Mathieu von Rohr (@mathieuvonrohr) <a href="https://twitter.com/mathieuvonrohr/status/1047893338228228096?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">October 4, 2018</a></blockquote>

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"I don't want the Bavarian regional parliament to have a power balance like in Berlin.”

Source:

https://www.noz.de/deutschland-welt/politik/artikel/1545986/ard-wahlumfrage-koalition-ohne-csu-moeglich

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